Iowa could also be crucial state on Donald J. Trump’s early 2024 political calendar, however he hasn’t been making many mates there recently.

He lashed out at Iowa’s common Republican governor, Kim Reynolds, after which his marketing campaign knowledgeable one of many state’s politically influential evangelical leaders, Bob Vander Plaats, that the previous president would skip a gathering of presidential candidates this week in Des Moines.

The back-to-back strikes on Monday — which the marketing campaign of Gov. Ron DeSantis of Florida labeled a “snub of Iowa conservatives” in an electronic mail on Tuesday — present the extent to which Mr. Trump, the front-runner for the Republican nomination, acts as if he’s resistant to conventional political pitfalls whereas he’s additionally underneath indictment and his rivals are looking for to capitalize on some voters’ fatigue along with his antics.

“With Trump’s personality, I feel he thinks he owns Iowa,” mentioned Steve Boender, a board member for the Family Leader, the conservative Christian group organizing the occasion on Friday that Mr. Trump is skipping. “And I’m not sure he does.”

“I think Trump’s negativity is hurting things a little bit,” added Mr. Boender, who stays unaligned for 2024.

It isn’t a surprise that Mr. Trump will skip the Family Leader gathering. He has typically prevented these “cattle call” occasions, which function all of the candidates, as advisers see such settings as decreasing him to the extent of his far-behind opponents. In addition, Mr. Vander Plaats has made no secret of his need to maneuver previous Mr. Trump, together with touring to Tallahassee to have lunch with Mr. DeSantis on the governor’s mansion.

“I think there’s no doubt, most likely, I will not endorse him,” Mr. Vander Plaats mentioned of Mr. Trump. “So he believes if he shows up and I don’t endorse him that will make him look weak.”

But in consequence, he mentioned, Mr. Trump was lacking out on chatting with an estimated viewers of two,000, and “many of those people still love him dearly.”

Over the weekend, The New York Times reported on the varied methods Ms. Reynolds has appeared cozy with Mr. DeSantis, to the rising frustration of Mr. Trump, who appointed her predecessor to an ambassadorship. He desires credit score for her ascent and profession; she received re-election in a landslide final yr. He erupted in public on Monday.

“I opened up the Governor position for Kim Reynolds, & when she fell behind, I ENDORSED her, did big Rallies, & she won,” Mr. Trump wrote on Truth Social, referring to her 2018 race. “Now, she wants to remain ‘NEUTRAL.’ I don’t invite her to events!”

Ms. Reynolds’s workplace declined to remark. Mr. DeSantis shortly got here to her protection on Twitter, saying she is “a strong leader who knows how to ignore the chirping and get it done.”

Mr. Trump’s comment spurred some backlash from Iowans who assist Ms. Reynolds, together with Cody Hoefert, who served as co-chair of the Iowa Republican Party from 2014 to 2021.

“It was a continuation of a series of unforced errors by the former president,” Mr. Hoefert mentioned, additionally citing Mr. Trump’s feedback opposing a six-week abortion ban.

Ms. Reynolds has known as the Iowa Legislature right into a particular session this week to move a six-week ban after a earlier effort was blocked by the state’s high court docket. Mr. Trump has mentioned so strict a ban — when many ladies don’t even know they’re pregnant — is “too harsh.”

Mr. Hoefert mentioned his break with Mr. Trump — throughout whose presidency he remained a loyal social gathering officer — was not due to different allegiances.

“This was not, ‘I’m going to attack Trump because I’m supporting X candidate,’” he mentioned. “It’s because I’m tired of the former president making everything about himself and attacking his friends and potential supporters and other Republicans who are doing great conservative things over what seems like a personal vendetta.”

Republicans against Mr. Trump’s main the social gathering once more predicted that the assaults would play poorly with voters.

“He’s shown his penchant for self-destructive behavior, and it’s one of those things that I think voters notice,” mentioned David Kochel, a longtime Republican operative from Iowa who has suggested Ms. Reynolds. “Kim Reynolds is very popular in Iowa. She hasn’t attacked Trump. She won’t — she’s told everyone she’ll go to their events, and the fact that he has such an ego he assumes everyone has to endorse him. That’s not going to happen in these early states.”

Brett Barker, the chair of the Story County Republican Party in Iowa, noticed it as a unnecessary battle. “I don’t think it’s helpful to pick fights with sitting governors who are really popular in their home states,” he mentioned, earlier than including: “I don’t know how harmful it’s going to be in the big picture.”

An individual near Mr. Trump who was not licensed to talk publicly acknowledged that his assault on Ms. Reynolds was not a part of a scripted plan, however questioned whether or not it will truly erode his standing, regardless of predictions of political fallout. His group believes he has sufficient assist amongst Iowans to counteract elected officers’ views.

Steven Cheung, a spokesman for Mr. Trump, cited a “scheduling conflict” as his purpose for lacking the Family Leadership Summit, and famous that Mr. Trump could be again in Iowa subsequent week. That go to will likely be for a Trump city corridor with Fox News’ Sean Hannity.

“The president will be in Florida this weekend headlining the premier national young voter conference with Turning Point Action conference while DeSantis is nowhere to be found,” Mr. Cheung mentioned of an occasion anticipated to attract a extra pro-Trump crowd.

The Family Leader occasion — which is predicted to function Mr. DeSantis, former Vice President Mike Pence, Senator Tim Scott of South Carolina, Vivek Ramaswamy, the previous United Nations ambassador Nikki Haley and former Gov. Asa Hutchinson of Arkansas — is the second main conservative gathering in two months that Mr. Trump is bypassing.

Mr. Vander Plaats mentioned that “half the battle” in Iowa was displaying up, and that Mr. Trump had fallen brief to date on that rating.

“Iowa is tailor-made for him to get beat here,” he mentioned. “And to the contrary, if he wins here, I’m not sure there’s any way to stop him from being the nominee.”